Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 2094.491111 2282.602400 2474.682795 2685.198030 2909.137608 3139.951842 3395.540924
2024-10-27 1717.970303 1986.130752 2271.980588 2598.242787 2959.168679 3345.089967 3787.777898
2024-11-03 1579.141640 1904.340864 2261.682702 2681.150899 3157.651246 3679.726242 4292.528074
2024-11-10 1458.338854 1823.272643 2234.724141 2729.133122 3303.111087 3944.510485 4711.323438
2024-11-17 1332.896553 1722.976121 2173.274845 2725.920591 3380.077381 4123.890036 5027.491839
2024-11-24 1212.476059 1617.833491 2096.297135 2695.179170 3416.831515 4250.472132 5277.917289
2024-12-01 1137.823382 1561.754476 2072.088306 2721.944525 3517.200739 4448.395817 5610.223021
2024-12-08 1059.053928 1494.514142 2028.877178 2720.706111 3579.887403 4598.908752 5885.023294
2024-12-15 1013.373828 1465.732155 2030.311133 2771.928374 3704.766932 4823.399358 6249.163411
2024-12-22 941.447685 1398.115939 1978.438634 2752.466714 3739.138276 4935.915787 6476.791190
2024-12-29 910.386447 1382.356726 1991.236583 2813.700353 3873.670230 5171.402237 6856.039403
2025-01-05 863.705158 1342.549738 1970.139910 2829.105955 3948.710699 5332.624816 7144.249506
2025-01-12 815.482077 1298.927313 1943.014815 2836.560082 4014.746563 5485.249413 7426.539396
2025-01-19 734.776748 1205.369064 1844.764966 2746.147318 3950.906296 5471.691390 7499.139253
2025-01-26 722.825114 1209.240382 1878.774755 2832.624970 4118.818699 5754.327184 7948.511756
2025-02-02 699.446661 1194.939442 1886.465909 2882.661805 4238.475792 5975.753417 8321.818841
2025-02-09 660.355869 1155.137784 1856.452907 2879.311983 4285.747489 6103.093596 8574.958454
2025-02-16 615.146606 1103.570061 1807.354292 2847.254843 4292.514753 6176.404817 8757.865749
2025-02-23 591.030933 1083.012742 1801.720081 2875.165944 4380.238379 6356.150303 9080.114433
2025-03-02 560.063864 1050.029841 1776.423155 2873.874577 4427.025660 6481.463309 9331.706465
2025-03-09 546.206463 1043.446419 1789.540245 2927.282282 4549.591984 6708.493122 9718.872953
2025-03-16 513.445827 1004.541334 1752.703529 2906.991419 4568.394970 6795.952229 9921.599676
2025-03-23 504.405263 1004.041018 1773.592113 2970.829361 4705.578221 7043.850196 10339.394678